一月GTA销量止跌公寓销量价格双降

USBenq · 发表于 2013-2-5 18:37:17

本帖最后由 USBenq 于 2013-2-5 18:41 编辑

前些天從地產周報上得到一份從1953年來的平均房價，情況是：從1989年到1996年，平均房價在下降外，其它年份的平均房價均在上漲，包括2001年的IT災難年及2008年的全美經濟大衰退年。
在2001年，平均房價上漲3.39%；在2008年，平均房價上漲0.83%；2009年，漲4.25%；2010年，漲9.10%；2011年，漲7.87%；2012年，漲6.85%。從2001年到現在，平均房價剛好翻了一倍！
現在經濟比2008年2009年強了很多，你說現在房價會不會跌。
我就一直等著2008年經濟衰退時的房價下跌，結果到頭來，現在決定買房，要多付近20萬。
如果你愿意等，那就繼續等吧！
曾經有人跟我說過：一步跟不上，永遠跟不上！

toren · 发表于 2013-2-5 18:39:05

本帖最后由 toren 于 2013-2-5 19:03 编辑

Spend a few minutes to make a comparision with the data for Jan 1-14
The whole month vs first-half of the month. Anything interesting?
上半月的"量价齐升" 到月底变成了什么?

http://www.torontorealestateboard.com/market_news/release_market_updates/news2013/nr_mid_month_0113.htmhttp://www.torontorealestateboard.com/market_news/release_market_updates/news2013/nr_mid_month_0113.htm[/url]

简单比较一下416区SEMI房
上半月销售升16.7%, 全月跌5.2%, 相差21.9%.
如果这个数据没有作假, 就说明了市场的变化是大头冲下, 二月会是如何?

如果不出意外,我们在二月还会见到同一市场变化模式.

地产局有没有在数据上动手脚? 目的是什么?

zggg · 发表于 2013-2-5 19:05:53

回复 28# 高迅电子

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Cd-a5DCtaos

风水好的房子，便宜

zggg · 发表于 2013-2-5 19:06:37

回复 30# cheap51

风水好的房子，便宜
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Cd-a5DCtaos

xuxi · 发表于 2013-2-5 19:09:06

回复 8# 东行国际
不晚不晚，赶紧抢offer去

xuxi · 发表于 2013-2-5 19:11:50

回复 17# 咖啡飘香
第一次听说医院也裁人

heap51 · 发表于 2013-2-5 19:14:23

本帖最后由 cheap51 于 2013-2-5 19:16 编辑

回复
zggg 发表于 2013-2-5 19:06

I don't see anything wrong with the house? So your point is? 再说如果命宅不配, 风水好都没用...
http://www.jjanechen.com/7-Willow-Heights-Crt/Toronto/toronto/1136202

xuxi · 发表于 2013-2-5 19:16:58

本帖最后由 xuxi 于 2013-2-5 19:20 编辑

回复 25# 钱福
说话明朗些，不用太隐晦。老不正经重口味，喜欢观察邻家老太的屁股。

toren · 发表于 2013-2-5 19:32:40

回复 31# USBenq

别人跟不上就跟不上罢.你跟上不就行了.

你替别人着啥急? 想拖个垫背的?

toren · 发表于 2013-2-5 19:57:34

本帖最后由 toren 于 2013-2-5 20:00 编辑

回复 40# cheap51

Not bad, at least you are thinking.

Jan 1-14, 2013 vs 2012 UP 16.7% HOT !!!!
Jan 1-31, 2013 vs 2012 DOWN 5.2% COLD !!!!

Somthing has happened?

What happened?
What's happening?

磨蹭一辈子 · 发表于 2013-2-5 20:09:54

本帖最后由磨蹭一辈子于 2013-2-5 20:14 编辑

Monthly up or down debate begins now.
at51 发表于 2013-2-5 12:14

何其幸之！差点儿丢了坐沙发的资格。历久经年地，骨子里无法释怀的农民情节，忽然转了性子跃跃欲试地扯了一张公寓的票子，好在迷途知返了。

heap51 · 发表于 2013-2-5 20:54:32

本帖最后由 cheap51 于 2013-2-5 20:55 编辑

回复 40# toren

You had me lost for a moment, what you mean is some people backed out from a deal? Or you mean treb is making up those numbers?

toren · 发表于 2013-2-5 21:00:15

本帖最后由 toren 于 2013-2-5 21:08 编辑

回复 42# cheap51

Nothing about what you said.

Even though your guess was right, people backing out made a 20% turn around, wuh, what's behind their mind?

No, the thing is if this market was so inconsistent, what does it represent?

Or, who made this inconsistence?

Yeah, one of my guess is these numbers are not real.

森林vv · 发表于 2013-2-5 21:08:34

回复 43# toren

What are you talking about?

GTA REALTORS? RELEASE MONTHLY RESALE HOUSING FIGURES

TORONTO, February 5, 2013 -- Greater Toronto Area REALTORS? reported 4,375 transactions through the TorontoMLS system in January 2013.  This number represented a slight decline compared to 4,432 transactions reported in January 2012.

“The January sales figures represent a good start to 2013.  While the number of transactions was down slightly compared to last year, the rate of decline was much less than what was experienced in the second half of 2012.  This suggests that some buyers, who put their decision to purchase on hold last year due to stricter mortgage lending guidelines, are once again becoming active in the market,” said Toronto Real Estate Board (TREB) President Ann Hannah.

“It is interesting to note that sales were up for many home types in the GTA regions surrounding the City of Toronto.  This is due, at least in part, to the additional upfront land transfer tax in the City of Toronto,” added Ms. Hannah.

The average selling price for January 2013 sales was $482,648 – up by 4.3 per cent compared to $462,655 in January 2012.  The MLS? Home Price Index (HPI) Composite Benchmark price was up by 3.8 per cent over the same period.

“There will be enough competition between buyers in the marketplace to prompt continued growth in home prices in 2013.  Expect annual average price growth in the three to five per cent range this year,” said Jason Mercer, TREB’s Senior Manager of Market Analysis.

Greater Toronto REALTORS? are passionate about their work. They are governed by a strict Code of Ethics and share a state-of-the-art Multiple Listing Service. Over 36,000 TREB Members serve consumers in the Greater Toronto Area.  The Toronto Real Estate Board is Canada’s largest real estate board.

http://www.torontorealestateboar ... rket_watch_0113.htm

快活每一天 · 发表于 2013-2-5 21:53:18

无忧老汉这老B，如站在我面前，我不一定能控制住我的拳头。
kbs8707 发表于 2013-2-5 16:33

其实他也不容易，以前在国内以他的文笔学识混得还算小可以，但到了这里连个杆象样的工作都没有，只能靠出租房屋来糊口。勉强混了个衣食无忧，每天在网上玩扑克打发时光。可怜。

一月GTA销量止跌 公寓销量价格双降